Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.090830 0.106135 0.123188 0.143593 0.167346 0.194123 0.226609
2026-02-01 0.067517 0.086505 0.109634 0.139869 0.178354 0.225716 0.288471
2026-02-08 0.052724 0.073289 0.100393 0.138703 0.191465 0.261608 0.362050
2026-02-15 0.041629 0.062309 0.091581 0.135990 0.201669 0.295288 0.439073
2026-02-22 0.034675 0.055525 0.087022 0.137991 0.218422 0.340565 0.540480
2026-03-01 0.028791 0.049062 0.081576 0.137407 0.230921 0.381431 0.642583
2026-03-08 0.023496 0.042421 0.074511 0.132734 0.235792 0.410828 0.731389
2026-03-15 0.019966 0.038040 0.070309 0.131932 0.246744 0.451710 0.846346
2026-03-22 0.017855 0.035768 0.069329 0.136548 0.267907 0.513545 1.009020
2026-03-29 0.016154 0.033925 0.068764 0.141743 0.290899 0.582226 1.196088
2026-04-05 0.014558 0.031974 0.067615 0.145514 0.311623 0.649690 1.392053
2026-04-12 0.013024 0.029852 0.065728 0.147375 0.328647 0.712287 1.588416
2026-04-19 0.011077 0.026569 0.061061 0.143009 0.332909 0.751831 1.749157
2026-04-26 0.009325 0.023384 0.056045 0.136974 0.332533 0.781772 1.895589
2026-05-03 0.008074 0.021137 0.052759 0.134364 0.339696 0.830194 2.094893
2026-05-10 0.006965 0.019010 0.049355 0.130815 0.343979 0.872833 2.289148
2026-05-17 0.006263 0.017795 0.047982 0.132142 0.360808 0.949082 2.582828
2026-05-24 0.005554 0.016408 0.045899 0.131199 0.371581 1.012155 2.854978
2026-05-31 0.004795 0.014717 0.042675 0.126498 0.371283 1.046370 3.056384
2026-06-07 0.004280 0.013628 0.040909 0.125581 0.381475 1.110893 3.355663
2026-06-14 0.003996 0.013183 0.040910 0.129875 0.407738 1.225264 3.822187
2026-06-21 0.003754 0.012818 0.041084 0.134751 0.436794 1.353171 4.354922
2026-06-28 0.003497 0.012347 0.040842 0.138292 0.462482 1.475954 4.896714